Roma vs Cagliari (ROM vs CAG (Oct 27))

Kalshi Soccer › Soccer Closed Oct 27 · $2.1M today · $2.2M traded · $789K at stake

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Settled RomaA day before, traders gave it 74%.

The last odds before it closed

✓ Roma99%▲ 26

Tie1%▼ 17

Cagliari1%▼ 9

How the odds have moved

Roma: 73% on Oct 19, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 27, 5 PM ETRoma: 74% → 99%
- Roma vs Cagliari: Italian Serie A stats & head-to-headBBC Sport · 18 days ago
- Official: Dybala left out of Roma squad for Cagliari clashFootball Italia · 17 days ago
- AS Roma vs Cagliari Predictions: Hosts to maintain unbeaten run@goal · 17 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Last odds	Contracts
✓ Roma	99%	2.2M
✗ Cagliari	1%	1.2M
✗ Tie	1%	328.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Roma, Cagliari

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Transfer Market: Roma Eye Nigerian Midfielder David MosesPowers of Africa · 2 days agoDavid Moses Lilia Habboul 11/11/2026 à 10:43 , Mis à jour le 11/11/2026 AS Roma are reportedly showing strong interest in David Moses ahead of the upcoming winter transfer window. According to Africafoot, the Italian club is considering…
Alejandro Balde gives priority to Roma moveYahoo Sports · 14 h agoStory byAlejandro Balde gives priority to Roma move Story by Alejandro Balde gives priority to Roma move Alejandro Balde gives priority to Roma move RomaPressThu, November 12, 2026 at 9:31 PM UTC·1 min read
From Germany: Roma renew interest in De CuyperYahoo Sports · 24 h agoStory byFrom Germany: Roma renew interest in De Cuyper Story by From Germany: Roma renew interest in De Cuyper From Germany: Roma renew interest in De Cuyper RomaPressThu, November 12, 2026 at 11:36 AM UTC
Roma set sights on Lookman, but Atletico ward off interestYahoo Sports · 25 h agoStory byRoma set sights on Lookman, but Atletico ward off interest Story by Roma set sights on Lookman, but Atletico ward off interest Roma set sights on Lookman, but Atletico ward off interest RomaPressThu, November 12, 2026 at 10:11 AM…
Lazio v Cagliari | Goal.com Malaysia@goal · 15 h agoGattuso tells table-topping Lazio stars to ignore Serie A standings Lazio head coach Gennaro Gattuso has urged his players to ignore the Serie A standings despite moving clear at the summit with a 2-1 comeback win over Cagliari on Sunday…
AS Roma best positioned to sign Real Madrid forward; Inter Milan also keen – reportYahoo Sports · 27 h agoStory byAS Roma best positioned to sign Real Madrid forward; Inter Milan also keen – report Story by AS Roma best positioned to sign Real Madrid forward; Inter Milan also keen – report AS Roma best positioned to sign Real Madrid forward…
AS Roma Target Ademola Lookman For January Transfer WindowLEADERSHIP Newspapers · 19 h ago
Roma holding firm on signing Real Madrid star, abandoning deal for Barcelona player@goal · 13 h agoGetty ImagesAbobakr El Mokadem9 hours agoTranslated by Roma holding firm on signing Real Madrid star, abandoning deal for Barcelona player Follow GOAL on GoogleRoma are insisting on completing a standout deal from Real Madrid in the coming…
Carrick Sacking: BBC Says Chelsea, Roma, Villa Were the TestThe False 9 · 18 h agoManchester United Feature Carrick Sacking: BBC Says Chelsea, Roma, Villa Were the Test BBC Sport's Sami Mokbel reports what Man Utd told Carrick and when, and why Chelsea, Roma and Aston Villa were the games that had to show progress…
Roma, Ademola Lookman emerges as an attacking target: he could leave in January@goal · 15 h agoGetty Images11 Nov 2026 05:42-05:00Translated by Roma, Ademola Lookman emerges as an attacking target: he could leave in January RomaTransfersAtletico MadridA. LookmanA new signing in attack. Roma will refresh their squad in January, and…
Gossip: Roma drop interest in Barcelona outcast Alejandro BaldeBarca Blaugranes · 20 h agoBarcelona: Transfer Rumors & News Gossip: Roma drop interest in Barcelona outcast Alejandro Balde The club have other priorities. by Barca BlaugranesNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTCBARCELONA, SPAIN - OCTOBER 31: Alejandro Balde of FC Barcelona…
UEFA fine Roma over fan clashes during Man United tripFootball Italia · 19 h agoRoma have received a €20,000 fine from UEFA’s disciplinary body and a potential partial restriction on away ticket allocations for one of their upcoming European fixtures. UEFA sanctioned Roma after Giallorossi fans clashed with police…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4SOCCER.us. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onESPN, Fox Sports

Trading closedOct 29, 2026 3:45 PM ET

Traded$2.2M (3,677,958 contracts)

Today$2.1M

This week$2.2M

At stake$789K

In the news8 headlines today, 13 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Roma wins the Roma vs Cagliari professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4SOCCER.us, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4SOCCER.us index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4SOCCER.us Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions

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