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UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27)
The odds
- Türkiye97%▲ 12
- Czechia84%▼ 9
- Serbia76%▼ 34
- Wales41%▼ 28
- Croatia32%▲ 1
- Denmark15%▲ 14
- Germany6%▲ 4
- Norway3%▼ 3
- Greece2%▲ 2
- Italy1%
- France1%
- Netherlands1%
4 more
- Portugal<1%
- Belgium<1%
- England<1%
- Spain<1%
How the odds have moved
Türkiye: 88% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 12, 11 PM ETTürkiye: 85% → 97%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye | 97% | ▲ 12 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $15.5K |
| Czechia | 84% | ▼ 9 | 68¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | $2.4K |
| Serbia | 76% | ▼ 34 | 11¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | $14.9K |
| Wales | 41% | ▼ 28 | 1¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | $10.1K |
| Croatia | 32% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | $2.6K |
| Denmark | 15% | ▲ 14 | 12¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | $2.6K |
| Germany | 6% | ▲ 4 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $123 |
| Norway | 3% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 21¢ | $4.69 | $2.4K |
| Greece | 2% | ▲ 2 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $1.9K |
| Italy | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | $7.8K | |
| France | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $1.3K | |
| Netherlands | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | $422 | |
| Portugal | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $576 | ||
| Belgium | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $4.9K | ||
| England | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.4K | ||
| Spain | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $525 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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