What Expected Goals (xG) Actually Tells You
xG is a chance-quality measure, not a prediction and not a verdict. Here is what goes into it, what it is good for, and the four places it will mislead you.
The editorial desk at 4Soccer: explainers, guides and data-driven notes for people who follow the game and people who play it.
xG is a chance-quality measure, not a prediction and not a verdict. Here is what goes into it, what it is good for, and the four places it will mislead you.
Why the clock never stops, where the added minutes come from, and the full shoot-out procedure — including the rule that quietly decides who takes the fifth penalty.
Soccer's moneyline has three outcomes, not two. Here is how to read the prices, how to strip out the bookmaker's margin, and what an Asian handicap actually does.
Why a European club can be destroyed by finishing 18th, why MLS can't be, and how a club qualifies for the Champions League — the pyramid, in plain English.
Three points for a win is the easy part. What separates two clubs on the same points is different in MLS, England, Spain and Italy — and the differences decide titles.
Two conferences, a wild-card round, a best-of-three series and two different trophies that both claim to crown a champion. A guide for fans arriving from either direction.